I have noticed that last matches' predictions of the season 2014 - 2015 weren't successful at all... and that may be explained by the "illogic" resusults of some encounters. In fact, in this turning of championships. many teams "offer" the result of their matches to the other teams witch are willing to accept the gift or even obliged to buy.
So my question is: does the statistical models you prepare take care of this factor?
if no I hope you work hard on it as it is a decisive prediction element.